He was simply making an attempt for instance that making the insurance bet is sensible generally when contemplating your risk of wreck, trumping the home edge consideration, in some instances. The danger of ruin factor is more of a personal decision that cannot be decided solely by math. In 'Deal or No Deal' there are 2 suitcases left- $1 and $2,000,000. The lifelong adverse feeling of getting $1 when I may have had $980,000 outweighs the $20,000 EV I am giving up. If a player wants to pay a small price to 'insure' his BJ, although it isn't a 'good' bet, then it's the same as another -EV wager. If you go right into a on line casino expecting to make money by way of counting, or +EV VP, then that may be a totally different story.